NEW DELHI: For a man who will inherit vast tracts of fertile
farmland in Punjab, India's grain bowl, Jaswinder Singh made what
seemed to him a logical career move -- he took a job with a telecoms
company in New Delhi.
"I can't go back to the village
after an M.B.A. Delhi has more money, better quality of life. The job
is more satisfying, and you don't depend on the weather or prices set
by the government," said Singh, who earns rent from his farm,
while a tenant tills the land.
Singh's choice reflects a
growing and worrisome trend in the nation's agriculture sector:
Indian farms are failing to attract capital or talent, either from
rich landlords like Singh, or the 21,000 students who graduate from
India's 50 agricultural and veterinary universities.
"At
present, most of the farm graduates are either taking jobs in the
government, or financial institutions, or in private sector industry.
They are seldom taking to farming as a profession," a report by
the M.S. Swaminathan Research Foundation said.
The views of
the foundation -- set up by M.S. Swaminathan, who led India's Green
Revolution in the 1960s that helped make this vast nation
self-sufficient in food -- were echoed in a poll by the National
Sample Survey Organisation, a government body. The survey showed 40
percent of Indian farmers would quit farming, if they had a choice --
an alarming revelation for a country where two-thirds of the
billion-plus people live in villages.
SLOW GROWTH
India's farm sector has changed remarkably little since
the advent of the Green Revolution, while other industries have been
transformed over the past two decades. As a result, agriculture's
share of the Indian economy shrank to 17.5 percent last year, from
nearly 30 percent in the early 1990s.
"We are not
realising that farming is becoming an increasingly less profitable
profession. There was a time when farmers had very little choice.
Things have changed. Farmers would like to make a shift," said
T.K. Bhaumik, a leading economist.
This has raised concerns
that India's farm output could lag demand and the country -- which
ranks among the world's top three consumers of rice, wheat, sugar,
tea, coarse grains and cotton -- will become a large food importer
unless yields jump.
"The increase in yields in the past
decades have been insignificant. India sorely needs another Green
Revolution," says Kushagra Nayan Bajaj, joint managing director
of Bajaj Hindusthan, India's top sugar producer, which is importing
raw sugar after a drought ravaged the domestic cane crop.
But
the next revolution faces a tougher challenge -- in part because of
the environmental damage done by the previous one. Back then,
abundant groundwater was available and the soil was not degraded by
pesticides and fertilisers, which initially helped boost
productivity.